Monday, November 15, 2010

NY Fed Manufacturing Index Takes a Dive

http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/2010/11/ny-fed-manufacturing-survey-new-orders.html

The above report on the NY Fed Manufacturing Report came to me from Mish's blog, always an excellent source of information.

But how does this factor in to the trade? For a long time now it seems that the stock market has been levitating way above where it should be. Yes, I expected the DJIA to reach the 11,000 level before resuming the secular bear market and it did so right on cue, but since August of this year the stock market has been on a tear that made little sense, except, of course, for the affect of Quantitative Easing.

But now that that has been front ran and all the little guys have been suckered in it seems like all the dominoes are lined up perfectly and even the slowdown warned about by Consumer Metrics seems to be finally showing up in the official economic numbers.

LOOK OUT BELOW!

--Fred

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